Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 4.277716 5.097130 6.009095 7.096134 8.353218 9.757797 11.442399
2025-07-27 3.248725 4.344076 5.687049 7.441196 9.656751 12.345580 15.837246
2025-08-03 2.481482 3.660558 5.228657 7.436801 10.430704 14.308582 19.663561
2025-08-10 1.884612 3.037175 4.684997 7.162839 10.732934 15.617981 22.717055
2025-08-17 1.468719 2.566541 4.242275 6.913706 10.973206 16.797437 25.637903
2025-08-24 1.214138 2.282068 4.010030 6.909670 11.523738 18.417204 29.272967
2025-08-31 1.021533 2.055850 3.822506 6.929695 12.084551 20.070246 33.063349
2025-09-07 0.852900 1.834771 3.601861 6.852306 12.461117 21.449181 36.521964
2025-09-14 0.683947 1.576238 3.270386 6.531155 12.383422 22.081250 38.834402
2025-09-21 0.583370 1.430816 3.118781 6.500616 12.782782 23.500220 42.494406
2025-09-28 0.499650 1.302435 2.977453 6.464960 13.158795 24.895785 46.200807
2025-10-05 0.469987 1.287583 3.058887 6.862462 14.355372 27.780925 52.613497
2025-10-12 0.424126 1.227780 3.042395 7.072273 15.237516 30.211946 58.471534
2025-10-19 0.393065 1.197869 3.085948 7.410308 16.399396 33.234917 65.586060
2025-10-26 0.341918 1.104811 2.973589 7.404087 16.879376 35.041981 70.642538
2025-11-02 0.282644 0.974779 2.752967 7.130643 16.785573 35.759848 73.748541
2025-11-09 0.234566 0.863366 2.556759 6.882338 16.711454 36.497606 76.924606
2025-11-16 0.205353 0.800662 2.471460 6.878269 17.152823 38.265221 82.154559
2025-11-23 0.181087 0.747053 2.400508 6.898198 17.645595 40.165219 87.752127
2025-11-30 0.156506 0.685295 2.296337 6.821115 17.910343 41.615486 92.549608
2025-12-07 0.127735 0.599452 2.107730 6.501257 17.581522 41.805959 94.835796
2025-12-14 0.111665 0.555616 2.033583 6.470841 17.927778 43.439903 100.142091
2025-12-21 0.097583 0.514948 1.961363 6.435329 18.256572 45.055534 105.501626